Memphis Scored 260 Combined Points in Past 2 Games + Projected Super Bowl Stats

In today’s newsletter…

• Leading Off: Where the Stanley Cup race stands

• NFL: Eagles took the first half lead in 8 straight Hurts starts

• NBA: Jokic scored 20+ in 9 of has past 10, averaging 25.9 points

• NBA: Milwaukee has the lowest-rated defense across past 5 games

• Soccer: Real Madrid scored 20 goals in their past 6 matches

• NHL: The over hit in 7 of the Bruins past 9 games as an underdog

• Golf: Spieth finished T69 in first tournament since August

• NFL: Projected player stats for the Super Bowl

• Overtime: Tom Brady is getting ready for another Super Bowl, but as a broadcaster

The NHL is pausing its regular starting Monday for the 4 Nations Face-Off, a competition with teams of NHL players from Finland, Sweden, Canada and the United States competing in a round-robin tournament. FanDuel has the U.S. as the favorite to win at +145, followed by Canada (+155), Sweden (+430) and Finland (+950). And here’s where the sportsbook has Stanley Cup odds 55 games into the 82-game regular season:

• Carolina: +600

• Edmonton: +650

• Florida: +850

• Dallas: +900

• New Jersey: +1100

• Colorado: +1200

In today’s newsletter, Jack looks at three more Super Bowl bets and has golf insights, Chris and Craig cover the NBA slate, Sam has three soccer bets to watch, and we have trends for tonight’s three NHL games and projected player stats for the Super Bowl.

— Abe Rakov

Elliot Made 1 of 7 50+ Yard Field Goal Attempts During the Regular Season

By Jack Dougherty

Half time/full time — Eagles/Chiefs (+600 at DraftKings)
The Eagles had some issues with slow starts earlier in the season, but they’ve been a tremendous first-half team down the stretch. Philadelphia has taken the first-half lead in eight straight Jalen Hurts starts dating back to mid-November, and it’s scored 37 first-quarter points through three playoff games. The last time these two teams met in the Super Bowl, the Eagles jumped out to a 10-point halftime lead but lost the second half by 13 points. If Philly takes a slim lead into the halftime locker room, you’ll be thrilled to have a +600 Chiefs moneyline ticket in your pocket. 

Longest field goal made — Chiefs (-135 at DraftKings)
The Eagles don’t have many weaknesses on their roster, but kicker is one of them right now. Jake Elliott went 1-for-7 on field-goal attempts from 50+ yards in the regular season, and he missed his lone 50-yard attempt in the playoffs. Philadelphia won’t feel too confident rolling Elliott out for a long field goal, so they’re more likely to go for fourth downs in fringe field-goal territory. The Chiefs, on the other hand, have the ultimate confidence in Harrison Butker, who’s 6-for-7 from 50-plus yards in his playoff career

Combined Tyrese Maxey points vs. Bucks + Eagles points vs. Chiefs — over 49.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
This one is for the Philly fans out there. The Eagles team total is set at 24.5 for the Super Bowl, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them surpass that mark considering how the last championship matchup between these teams played out. Even if they go under their team total, Maxey has scored at least 30 points in six straight games while averaging 35.5 points per game in that span. He also dropped 37 points in his last matchup against the Bucks, which give up the most points per game to opposing point guards (26.85).

Sponsor Sportmoney! Are you interested in aligning your brand with Sportmoney? We connect brands with a highly tuned-in sports audience.

🚀 Custom sponsorships & premium placements available!

📩 Reach out to [email protected] to learn more.

OKC Won and Covered in 4 Straight Against Phoenix, Averaging a 15-point Win

By Craig Williams

Timberwolves over 29.5 points first quarter (-130 at FanDuel)
The Wolves are coming off two bad losses at home, but they’re still 6-4 over their past 10 with the No. 6 net rating over that span. Anthony Edwards missed their loss against the Wizards with an illness before struggling against the Kings. Look for Edwards to deliver an improved performance and spark the Wolves against the Bulls, who are playing in their second leg of a back-to-back. The Bulls have not played well on zero days rest, nor have they performed well with the rest disadvantage. The Bulls’ fast pace and mediocre defense should enable the Wolves to get off to a fast start.

Anthony Edwards 30+ points scored (-115 at FanDuel)
Edwards admitted to feeling exhausted in the Wolves’ two-point loss to the Kings, which is understandable after he missed a game due to illness. Edwards should be much closer to 100% tonight and ready to play the role of “stopper.” Edwards broke the 30-point barrier five times in the eight games preceding his Saturday absence. We’re certainly fading the Bulls in this spot too. They already play mediocre defense, and they struggle against teams with fresher legs — that will be the case when they visit Minnesota tonight.

Warriors -5 alternate (-150 at Fanatics)
The Warriors and the Jazz are on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of their short-term goals. The Warriors are scratching and clawing for their playoff lives, and working hard to add a key piece by Thursday’s trade deadline. They’re 4-2 straight-up and against the spread over their past six games with the 11th-highest net rating. Conversely, the Jazz continue to flounder. They’re 1-9 straight-up over their past 10 with the fourth-worst net rating over that span. Additionally, they struggle at home — they’re 4-18 straight-up and 10-12 against the spread at the Delta Center.

Nuggets over 61.5 points first half (-125 at ESPNBET)
The Nuggets are averaging 64.9 points in the first half across their past 10 games with the league’s second-best offensive rating across that span. They’re hosting the Pelicans, who have lost six in a row and have the 2nd-worst defensive rating across that stretch of contests. Neither the Nuggets nor the Pelicans play at a breakneck pace, but they’re both in the top half of the league in the category, so it’s reasonable to expect the Nuggets to have the volume of possessions necessary to reach the first-half over.

Nikola Jokic & Jamal Murray 20+ points each (-140 at DraftKings)
We’re fading the Pelicans in this spot for a number of reasons, but specifically their porous defense, and we’re looking for Jokic and Murray to take advantage of it in the scoring column tonight. Murray has scored 20+ points in his past four games and in six of his past 10. He’s scoring 22.3 points overall across that span. Jokic, meanwhile, has hit this mark like clockwork, scoring at least 20 in nine of has past 10 and averaging 25.9 points overall

Thunder -10.5 alternate (-140 at BetMGM)
The Thunder have won and covered in each of their past four meetings against the Suns by an average of 15 points. That margin of victory suggests we don’t need an alternate line, but we’re going to show Kevin Durant and Devin Booker just a bit of respect here. We still like the Thunder to win convincingly, not only because of their own form — they’ve won and covered their past two — but because the Suns are waiting to see what shoe drops prior to Thursday’s trade deadline, and it’s difficult to remain focused with so much uncertainty swirling.

Kings -3.5 first half (-108 at FanDuel)
The Kings won their first game without De’Aaron Fox and covered in the first half against the Timberwolves, a much better team than the Orlando Magic are at the moment. The Magic have dropped four straight, both straight-up and against the spread, thanks largely to an anemic offense. They’re averaging 50.5 points in the first half over that span, but even that undersells their struggles on that end of the floor at the moment. They have the league’s worst offensive rating over their past 10, a stretch in which they’re 1-9 straight-up and against the spread.

Memphis Had the Top-Ranked Offense in January, Scored 260 Over Past 2 Games

By Chris Farley

Hornets vs. Bucks over 219.5 points (-110 at Bovada)
No matter who's coaching the Bucks' roster, they just can't seem to maintain consistently sound resistance for any significant length of time during the regular season. Through their past five games, Milwaukee is the NBA's lowest-rated defense, permitting at least 125 points to four of their past five opponents. On Wednesday they'll face a bottom-feeding Charlotte roster that's without their best player (LaMelo Ball), and lately their offense has been putrid (27th over their past five). Despite how poorly they've played, this is a much better spot for the Hornets, who have been at home since January 22nd, and Milwaukee's long, exhausting travel continues. We’re likely to see a shootout, and probably a big Bucks' scoreboard, in an otherwise forgetful matchup.

Hawks vs. Spurs over 240.5 points (-110 consensus)
Despite some stout resistance in January, the Hawks are back to their same old shtick, showing extremely inconsistent patterns on defense. Right now they represent the perfect combination for high-scoring — lackluster defense that allowed 130+ in each of their past three games and one of the quickest tempos in the NBA (1st in January and already even faster in February). The Spurs are the very same: 29th on defense in January and top-5 in tempo over their past five games. The last time these two programs met they scored 259 combined points, and now Wemby has a new weapon to further the Spurs' offensive prowess. Don't overthink this.

Victor Wembanyama over 24.5 points (-110 at FanDuel)
The Spurs' move to acquire De'Aaron Fox before the trade deadline signals that this is a program that believes it can go further than once thought. And while the inclusion of Fox adds another layer to a rapidly evolving roster, make no mistake about it: This is still Victor Wembayama's team. Over his past five games he's averaged 26 points per game, and Fox is another highly-skilled guard that can infiltrate the paint and drive attention away from Wemby. Fox's prowess as a pick-and-roll master will bring great dividends for San Antonio's offense and for the big-man's production. Wemby's only similarly-sized enemy is Onyeka Okongwu on Wednesday, and he's simply not skilled enough to limit the Frenchman.

Pistons 1st quarter +1.5 (-104 at FanDuel)
Less than 24 hours after finishing another tough battle against last season's champions, the Cavaliers head right back on the road. Cleveland to Detroit isn't a far trip, just two hours and change, but it doesn't make this spot any less difficult. Both residing in the Central Division, the Cavs and Pistons are longtime rivals, and so far Detroit has come up short in both affairs. That's to be expected since their foe is one of the premiere programs in the NBA, but Detroit kept it close early in both of their earlier battles, winning the first quarter in game one and coming awfully close in game two (26-23). Following much better production in their past four contests (123 points per game), we'll gladly consider the home team in the first 15 minutes.

Cade Cunningham over 27.5 points (-115 at Bovada)
The last time we bet on Cunningham's point prop, it was in this exact same battle. Unfortunately, it didn't pay out. Cunningham had one of his worst performances of the season, shooting just 9/26 and accruing only 22 points, three below his average (25.3). The young stud is a better shooter in front of his fans, especially from beyond the arc (he shoots 34% away from Little Caesars Arena, 37.5% when home), and now he has a revenge angle for added motivation. Add Cleveland's tough road spot following an emotional third meeting against the Celtics, and the table is set for Cunningham to go off (he's scored 30 or more in five of his past eight contests).

Nets vs. Wizards under 216.5 points (-108 at DraftKings)
It doesn't get worse than a matchup between the Wizards and Nets, but that doesn't mean there isn't value on the board. The Wizards are coming off two uncommon occurrences, wins, achieving their 7th and 8th victories of the season (their overall record is 8-41). The Nets, who are 16-33 and don't rate much better than the Wizards, are also coming off two rare wins. The biggest reason behind both Ws: defense. Showing vast improvement and probably catching teams off guard, Brooklyn is 2nd and Washington is 7th in total defense over their past two battles. Their effort is admirable and likely indicative of extra effort before the trade deadline. We'll follow the pattern.

Grizzlies vs. Raptors over 237.5 points (-110 at Bovada)
The Raptors hosted New York last night in what was probably an emotionally taxing affair since many of their players were former Knicks. In any case, we don't think Toronto, who ranks first in defense over their past five (or 10, it hasn't changed) games, will be as stingy on that side of the floor on such short rest. It helps that data backs that up (the over is 5-3 ATS on no rest and 12-10 ATS when home). Their opponent, meanwhile, is marching into Scotiabank Arena as the most explosive offense in January (123 points per game, 1st) and just got done rocking the Bucks and Spurs' defenses (260 combined points). We like Memphis to push this far over this number.

Arsenal, Unbeaten in Past 6, Need Big Win at Newcastle to Keep Carabao Cup Hopes Alive

By Sam Farley

Roma to win or draw (-134 at BetRivers)

• Roma’s form has turned since the arrival of Claudio Ranieri as manager in November (they’ve been defeated just once in 2025), and while Milan can sometimes excel, they’ve won just two of their past five games

• The past four meetings between the teams have either finished with a Roma win or a draw.

Real Madrid -1.5 (+120 at Caesars)

• Leganes face a tough Copa de Rey matchup against a Real Madrid team who beat them 3-0 away from home in the league in late November

• Real Madrid’s attacking talent has seen them score 20 goals in their past six games — while conceding just four

Arsenal to win (+115 at DraftKings)

• Newcastle won the first leg of this Carabao Cup semifinal 2-0, which means Arsenal absolutely must win this game, and win it well, to reach the March final at Wembley Stadium

• Arsenal are unbeaten in six and thrashed reigning Premier League champions Man City 5-1 on Sunday, while Newcastle come into this having lost their past two games at home

Betting Trends: Pastrnak’s Assist Streak, Oilers’ Success Against Bottom-10 Defenses

Bruins (27-22-6, 9-14-3 Away) vs. Rangers (25-23-4, 13-11-2 Home)

• The over hit in 7 of the past 9 games where the Bruins were the underdog

• The Rangers are 3-7 against the spread in their past 10 games vs. bottom-10 scoring defenses (and are 25-12 over their past 37 against those teams)

• Boston’s David Pastrnak has at least one assist in 11 straight games (1.3 average)

• New York’s Alexis Lafreniere has fewer than 3 shots on goal in 7 of his past 8 games (1.8 average)

Oilers (33-16-4, 15-7-2 Away) vs. Blackhawks (16-31-5, 10-14-2 Home)

• The Oilers are 8-1 in their past 9 games vs. bottom-10 scoring defenses (and the under hit in 9 of the past 12 games against those teams)

• The Blackhawks are 6-2 against the spread in their past 8 games as the underdog

• Edmonton’s Evan Bouchard has gone over 2.5 shots on goal in 5 games in a row vs. bottom-10 defenses for SOG allowed (6.0 average)

• Chicago’s Connor Bedard has notched at least 1 point in 16 of his past 19 games (1.0 average)

Canadiens (25-23-5, 12-13-1 Away) vs. Kings (27-17-6, 15-3-1 Home)

• LA is 2-8 against the spread in their past 10 games vs. bottom-10 scoring defenses

• The under hit in 9 of the past 13 Kings home games

• The Canadiens are 8-22 over their past 30 games vs. top-10 scoring defenses

• LA’s Adrian Kempe has at least 1 point in 7 straight home games (1.3 average)

Hoffman Made Playoff at WM Phoenix Open Last Year, Ranks 11th in Total Driving in 2025

By Jack Dougherty

Charley Hoffman top-20 finish including ties (+280 at FanDuel)
Hoffman has been playing solid golf to start the 2025 season. The veteran contended for a win at The American Express before falling to a T5 finish, and he followed it up with a T25 at the Farmers Insurance Open. What’s been most impressive is his ball-striking, as Hoffman ranks fourth on the PGA Tour this season in strokes gained from tee to green and 11th in total driving. The issue is he ranks 183rd in strokes gained from putting, but he’s gained strokes on the greens in six of his past seven starts at TPC Scottsdale — and lost in a playoff here last year.

Jordan Spieth to miss the cut (+158 at FanDuel)
Spieth returned to the golf course last week for the first time since undergoing wrist surgery in August, and he was understandably rusty. The American finished T69 in the 80-player field and lost strokes in all four major categories at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Spieth has a stellar track record at TPC Scottsdale, but it’s going to take him some time to get his feel back. This feels like too high a price for a player who’s still knocking the rust off.

Will there be a playoff? Yes (+350 at DraftKings)
The back 9 at TPC Scottsdale invites close finishes, and we’ve seen that play out over the past decade. Six of the past nine runnings of the WM Phoenix Open ended in a playoff, including last year between Hoffman and Nick Taylor. Of course, there’s always the possibility that Scottie Scheffler blitzes the field, but that feels unlikely in just his second start back from a hand injury. 

Super Bowl Stats: Eagles Have 2nd-Best Point Differential, Chiefs Undefeated in Close Games

Here’s the tale of the tape for the Chiefs and the Eagles, along with key player projected stats. Tomorrow we’ll have Eagles’ betting trends, Friday will be matchup insights, Saturday we’ll let you know where bettors are trending, and Sunday we’ll have a full slate of player props to consider. Enjoy Super Bowl Week!

• Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-105), Eagles +1.5 (-115)

  • KC 9-9-1, PHI 14-6-0

• Moneyline: Chiefs -120, Eagles +102

  • KC 17-2, PHI 17-3

• Total (48.5): Over/Under -110

  • KC 8-11, PHI 9-11

Chiefs (15-2) vs. Eagles (14-3)
6:30pm on FOX

Key player projections from Pro Football Focus:

• Chiefs

  • QB Patrick Mahomes: 250.3 passing yards, 1.8 pass TD, 17.3 rushing yards

  • RB Kareem Hunt: 36.9 rushing yards, 12.7 receiving yards

  • WR Xavier Worthy: 5.1 receptions, 55.6 receiving yards

  • TE Travis Kelce: 6.4 receptions, 58.3 receiving yards

• Eagles

  • QB Jalen Hurts: 238.0 passing yards, 1.5 pass TD, 36.9 rushing yards

  • RB Saquon Barkley: 89.1 rushing yards, 20.8 receiving yards

  • WR A.J. Brown: 6.2 receptions, 76.9 receiving yards

  • TE Dallas Goedert: 4.3 receptions, 40.8 receiving yards

In the News 

• Check out ESPN’s updated NBA Power Rankings.

• Tom Brady is getting ready to call the Super Bowl but has different rules than other broadcasters because of his Raiders’ ownership.

• AP survey: 36% of Black NFL players are “discouraged or disappointed by the number of Black coaches.”

• The Mavericks are reportedly offering refunds to fans upset by the Doncic trade.

What to Watch (times are ET)

• 6:30pm: Oregon vs. No. 24 Michigan on Big Ten Network

• 7pm: Spurs vs. Hawks on ESPN or No. 15 Mizzou at No. 4 Tennessee on SEC Network

• 9:30pm: Suns vs. Thunder on ESPN, Oilers vs. Blackhawks on TNT, or No. 8 Ohio State vs. No. 1 UCLA in women’s college basketball on Peacock

Photo of the Day