NFL Week 5 Game-by-Game Rundown

Three games this week should give us a better idea of how good a few teams actually are: Can the 3-1 Texans stay with the 3-1 Bills? Are the 2-2 Cowboys good or mediocre, and are the 3-1 Steelers for real? And can the 4-0 Chiefs keep winning with all of their injuries and will the 2-2 Saints keep scoring at will? Here are some other stats to keep in mind this week:

  • When you look at the numbers, the Texans might be the luckiest team so far while the Bengals look like the unluckiest. Houston is 17th in points per game (19.8), 21st in turnover differential (-1) and last in penalties (40), but is 3-1. Cincinnati is 9th in points (25.5), has a 0 turnover margin and is 5th in penalties (20), but is 0-3 in close games.

  • Does the Chiefs 4-0 record in close games make them lucky or good?

  • The Commanders, starting rookie QB Jayden Daniels, have the 3rd-highest scoring offense (30.2) in the NFL.

  • Miami is historically bad, as they have yet to lead while on offense this season — only three other teams have done that in the past 20 years. The Dolphins are last in the NFL in points per game (11.2) and point differential (-58), and are 30th in penalties. They play the 2nd-lowest scoring team in the league this weekend, the Patriots, who manage just 13.0 points per game.

  • Joe Burrow is expected to have the best passing day of the weekend, according to NFL Pro Stats, with 261.1 yards in the air.

And remember, byes start this week (Lions, Chargers, Eagles and Titans). Here’s our guide to Week 5 in the NFL.

Buccaneers (3-1, 1-0 Away) vs. Falcons (2-2, 1-2 Home)
Thursday, 8:15pm on Prime

Category

Buccaneers

Falcons

Points per Game

24.2 (11th)

18.8 (22nd)

Point Differential

+19 (8th)

-10 (20th)

Record in Close Games

1-0

2-2

Av. Margin of Victory

12.7 (11th)

1.5 (31st)

Turnover Differential

+2 (6th)

-1 (21st)

Total Penalties

19 (4th)

23 (11th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Buccaneers

    • QB Baker Mayfield: 224 pass yards, 1.4 pass TD

    • RB Rachaad White: 34.9 rush yards, 20.7 receiving yards

    • WR Chris Godwin: 5.3 receptions, 62.8 receiving yards

  • Falcons

    • QB Kirk Cousins: 234.3 pass yards, 1.5 pass TD

    • RB Bijan Robinson: 71.2 rush yards, 26.6 receiving yards

    • WR Drake London: 5.0 receptions, 65.7 receiving yards

Jets (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Vikings (4-0, 2-0 Home)
Sunday, 9:30am on NFL Network

Category

Jets

Vikings

Points per Game

19.0 (21st)

29.0 (4th)

Point Differential

+14 (14th)

+57 (1st)

Record in Close Games

1-1

2-0

Av. Margin of Victory

14.0 (8th)

14.2 (7th)

Turnover Differential

+1 (10th)

+3 (4th)

Total Penalties

31 (24th)

26 (15th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Jets

    • QB Aaron Rodgers: 231.5 pass yards, 1.4 pass TD

    • RB Breece Hall: 63.1 rush yards, 25.1 receiving yards

    • WR Garrett Wilson: 4.7 receptions, 60.2 receiving yards

  • Vikings

    • QB Sam Darnold: 229.5 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB Aaron Jones: 59.3 rush yards, 19.5 receiving yards

    • WR Justin Jefferson: 6.0 receptions, 81.7 receiving yards

Panthers (1-3, 1-1 Away) vs. Bears (2-2, 2-0 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Panthers

Bears

Points per Game

18.2 (25th)

19.2 (20th)

Point Differential

-56 (31st)

+2 (16th)

Record in Close Games

0-0

2-2

Av. Margin of Victory

14.0 (8th)

6.5 (20th)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

+2 (6th)

Total Penalties

28 (20th)

30 (23rd)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Panthers

    • QB Andy Dalton: 179.0 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Chuba Hubbard: 45.3 rush yards. 12.4 receiving yards

    • WR Diontae Johnson: 4.9 receptions, 51.4 receiving yards

  • Bears

    • QB Caleb Williams: 192 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB D’Andre Swift: 46.9 rush yards, 13.5 receiving yards

    • WR Keenan Allen: 5.0 receptions, 55.7 receiving yards

Ravens (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Bengals (1-3, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Ravens

Bengals

Points per Game

26.5 (5th)

25.5 (9th)

Point Differential

+18 (10th)

-2 (18th)

Record in Close Games

1-2

0-3

Av. Margin of Victory

14.0 (8th)

10.0 (15th)

Turnover Differential

+1 (10th)

0 (15th)

Total Penalties

39 (31st)

20 (5th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Ravens

    • QB Lamar Jackson: 216.0 pass yards, 1.5 pass TD

    • RB Derrick Henry: 74.5 rush yards, 8.3 receiving yards

    • WR Zay Flowers: 5.5 receptions, 62.8 receiving yards

  • Bengals

    • QB Joe Burrow: 261.1 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Zack Moss: 43.2 rush yards, 13.3 receiving yards

    • WR Ja’Marr Chase: 5.6 receptions, 72.7 receiving yards

Bills (3-1, 1-1 Away) vs. Texans (3-1, 2-0 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Bills

Texans

Points per Game

30.5 (2nd)

19.8 (17th)

Point Differential

+39 (3rd)

-15 (24th)

Record in Close Games

1-0

3-0

Av. Margin of Victory

21.3 (3rd)

4.0 (25th)

Turnover Differential

+5 (2nd)

-1 (21st)

Total Penalties

20 (5th)

40 (32nd)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Bills

    • QB Josh Allen: 239.1 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB James Cook: 65.4 rush yards, 15.0 receiving yards

    • TE Dalton Kincaid: 4.1 receptions, 42.8 receiving yards

  • Texans

    • QB C.J. Stroud: 257.2 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Joe Mixon: 59.3 rush yards, 20.6 receiving yards

    • WR Nico Collins: 5.1 receptions, 75.5 receiving yards

Colts (2-2, 0-1 Away) vs. Jaguars (0-4, 0-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Colts

Jaguars

Points per Game

21.2 (16th)

15.0 (29th)

Point Differential

0 (17th)

-49 (30th)

Record in Close Games

2-2

0-3

Av. Margin of Victory

4.0 (25th)

0.0 (32nd)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

-2 (24th)

Total Penalties

20 (5th)

27 (17th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Colts

    • QB Anthony Richardson: 190.8 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Jonathan Taylor: 78.8 rush yards, 14.8 receiving yards

    • WR Michael Pittman: 4.5 receptions, 52.0 receiving yards

  • Jaguars

    • QB Trevor Lawrence: 220.0 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Travis Etienne: 57.9 rush yards, 23.5 receiving yards

    • WR Christian Kirk: 4.4 receptions, 56.5 receiving yards

Dolphins (1-3, 0-1 Away) vs. Patriots (1-3, 0-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Dolphins

Patriots

Points per Game

11.2 (32nd)

13.0 (31st)

Point Differential

-58 (32nd)

-35 (28th)

Record in Close Games

1-0

1-1

Av. Margin of Victory

3.0 (29th)

6.0 (21st)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

0 (15th)

Total Penalties

37 (30th)

16 (1st)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Dolphins

    • RB De’Von Achane: 60.0 rush yards, 25.9 receiving yards

    • WR Tyreek Hill: 4.7 receptions, 62.7 receiving yards

    • WR Jaylen Waddle: 3.8 receptions, 52.1 receiving yards

  • Patriots

    • QB Jacoby Brissett: 181.0 pass yards, 0.9 pass tD

    • Rhamondre Stevenson: 57.9 rush yards, 18.1 receiving yards

    • WR Demario Douglas: 2.4 receptions, 26.4 receiving yards

Browns (1-3, 1-1 Away) vs. Commanders (3-1, 1-0 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Browns

Commanders

Points per Game

16.5 (27th)

30.2 (3rd)

Point Differential

-21 (26th)

+19 (8th)

Record in Close Games

1-2

2-0

Av. Margin of Victory

5.0 (23rd)

12.0 (12th)

Turnover Differential

-2 (24th)

+1 (10th)

Total Penalties

34 (28th)

25 (14th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Browns

    • QB Deshaun Watson: 194.4 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Jerome Ford: 28.9 rush yards, 14.8 receiving yards

    • WR Amari Cooper: 4.3 receptions, 64.0 receiving yards

  • Commanders

    • QB Jayden Daniels: 183.5 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Brian Robinson: 59.8 rush yards, 13.3 receiving yards

    • WR Terry McLaurin: 4.2 receptions, 55.7 receiving yards

Raiders (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Broncos (2-2, 0-1 Home)
Sunday, 4:05pm on FOX

Category

Raiders

Broncos

Points per Game

19.5 (19th)

15.5 (28th)

Point Differential

-19 (25th)

+7 (15th)

Record in Close Games

2-0

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

3.5 (28th)

10.0 (15th)

Turnover Differential

-4 (29th)

-2 (24th)

Total Penalties

17 (2nd)

27 (17th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Raiders

    • QB Gardner Minshew: 198.7 pass yards, 1.0 pass TD

    • RB Zamir White: 42.0 rush yards, 7.5 receiving yards

    • WR Davante Adams: 5.2 receptions, 64.6 receiving yards

  • Broncos

    • QB Bo Nix: 180.0 pass yards, 0.8 pass TD

    • RB Javonte Williams: 33.6 rush yards, 12.9 receiving yards

    • WR Courtland Sutton: 3.5 receptions, 46.8 receiving yards

Cardinals (1-3, 0-1 Away) vs. 49ers (2-2, 2-0 Home)
Sunday, 4:05pm on FOX

Category

Cardinals

49ers

Points per Game

24.0 (13th)

25.8 (8th)

Point Differential

-10 (20th)

+21 (6th)

Record in Close Games

0-2

0-2

Av. Margin of Victory

31.0 (1st)

15.0 (6th)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

+2 (6th)

Total Penalties

18 (3rd)

21 (8th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Cardinals

    • QB Kyler Murray: 212.2 pass yards, 1.3 pass TD

    • RB James Conner: 66.3 rush yards, 13.9 receiving yards

    • WR Marvin Harrison Jr.: 4.3 receptions, 64.5 receiving yards

  • 49ers

    • QB Brock Purdy: 235.0 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Jordan Mason: 79.9 rush yards, 10.8 receiving yards

    • WR Brandon Aiyuk: 4.9 receptions, 71.9 receiving yards

Packers (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Rams (1-3, 1-0 Home)
Sunday, 4:25pm on CBS

Category

Packers

Rams

Points per Game

26.0 (6th)

18.8 (22nd)

Point Differential

+15 (13th)

-40 (29th)

Record in Close Games

1-2

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

11.0 (13th)

3.0 (29th)

Turnover Differential

+6 (1st)

-1 (21st)

Total Penalties

34 (28th)

22 (10th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Packers

    • QB Jordan Love: 239.8 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Josh Jacobs: 71.3 rush yards, 18.5 receiving yards

    • WR Jayden Reed: 4.3 receptions, 53.9 receiving yards

  • Rams

    • QB Matthew Stafford: 224.7 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Kyren Williams: 74.0 rush yards, 17.2 receiving yards

    • WR Demarcus Robinson: 3.1 receptions, 38.1 receiving yards

Giants (1-3, 1-1 Away) vs. Seahawks (3-1, 2-0 Home)
Sunday, 4:25pm on CBS

Category

Giants

Seahawks

Points per Game

15.0 (29th)

25.5 (9th)

Point Differential

-24 (27th)

+17 (12th)

Record in Close Games

1-2

2-0

Av. Margin of Victory

6.0 (21st)

10.0 (15th)

Turnover Differential

-2 (24th)

-3 (28th)

Total Penalties

27 (17th)

32 (26th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Giants

    • QB Daniel Jones: 187.0 pass yards, 1.0 pass TD

    • RB Devin Singletary: 51.0 rush yards, 13.9 receiving yards

    • WR Malik Nabers: 5.2 receptions, 66.7 receiving yards

  • Seahawks

    • QB Geno Smith: 246.7 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB Kenneth Walker III: 65.5 rush yards, 12.8 receiving yards

    • WR DK Metcalf: 4.3 receptions, 61.9 receiving yards

Cowboys (2-2, 2-0 Away) vs. Steelers (3-1, 1-0 Home)
Sunday, 8:20pm on NBC

Category

Cowboys

Steelers

Points per Game

24.2 (11th)

18.8 (22nd)

Point Differential

-7 (19th)

+22 (4th)

Record in Close Games

1-1

2-1

Av. Margin of Victory

10.5 (14th)

8.3 (19th)

Turnover Differential

+1 (10th)

+2 (6th)

Total Penalties

32 (26th)

28 (20th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Cowboys

    • QB Dak Prescott: 233.5 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Rico Dowdle: 33.0 rush yards, 14.8 receiving yards

    • WR CeeDee Lamb: 6.1 receptions, 76.6 receiving yards

  • Steelers

    • QB Justin Fields: 178.5 pass yards, 0.9 pass TD

    • RB Najee Harris: 61.6 rush yards, 11.1 receiving yards

    • WR George Pickens: 4.0 receptions, 60.6 receiving yards

Saints (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Chiefs (4-0, 2-0 Home)
Monday, 8:15pm on ESPN

Category

Saints

Chiefs

Points per Game

31.8 (1st)

23.0 (14th)

Point Differential

+57 (1st)

+20 (7th)

Record in Close Games

0-2

4-0

Av. Margin of Victory

31.0 (1st)

5.0 (23rd)

Turnover Differential

+3 (4th)

-4 (29th)

Total Penalties

24 (13th)

21 (8th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Saints

    • QB Derek Carr: 197.5 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Alvin Kamara: 64.3 rush yards, 25.3 receiving yards

    • WR Chris Olave: 4.6 receptions, 61.7 receiving yards

  • Chiefs

    • QB Patrick Mahomes: 221.0 pass yards, 1.3 pass TD

    • RB Kareem Hunt: 49.9 rush yards, 8.7 receiving yards

    • WR Xavier Worthy: 3.5 receptions, 47.3 receiving yards

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