Opportunities in Two Monday Night Football Games
In today’s newsletter…
Leading Off: 0-2 NFL teams had a great Sunday
NFL: Jayden Daniels leads NFL in completion percentage
MLB: Cubs are scoring 5.5 runs/game over last 13
WNBA: Defending champs in tough first round series
NFL: Get ahead of Week 4 with a look at one spread
Overtime: Unanimous award for A’ja Wilson
Six of the seven 0-2 teams that played yesterday got their first win of the season, and the Bengals and Jaguars could make it eight of nine after a two-game Monday Night Football slate tonight (the Titans are currently the only 0-3 squad). Here are some highlights from yesterday’s matchups from NFL Next Gen stats:
Derrick Henry totaled 25 carries for 151 yards and 2 touchdowns, including +45 rushing yards over expected. Henry forced 12 missed tackles, the 2nd-most in a game by any player this season. Henry totaled 10 carries for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns when facing 8+ defenders in the box, generating positive EPA on 7 carries (70.0% success rate).
Only 16.7% of the 49ers passing yards came after the catch in Week 3, the lowest percentage of team passing yards coming after the catch the 49ers have recorded in game during the Shanahan era (since 2017), and the only game under 20%.
The Eagles defense converted 94.7% of their tackling opportunities in Week 3 against the Saints, missing just 3 total tackles. In Weeks 1-2, the Eagles converted just 81.1% of their tackling opportunities, the 3rd-lowest rate of any defense (25 missed tackles, 5th-most).
All four of Sam Darnold’s touchdowns came on short passes (between 0 and 10 air yards), against four-or-fewer rushers, and against man coverage – three came against the Texans in cover 0. Darnold was also effective when he holds in the pocket, completing 10 of 19 passes for 132 yards and 3 TD on dropbacks over 2.5 seconds.
In today’s newsletter, Jack is covering Monday Night Football, Craig has today’s MLB action and Chris is tracking the first round of the WNBA playoffs.
- Abe Rakov
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