Player Projections & Team Stats for Week 6 in the NFL

There are two games we’re watching especially closely this week: Commanders at the Ravens and Lions at Cowboys. The Commanders are playing nearly mistake-free and have the NFL’s top scoring offense, but can the Ravens be the team that finally makes quarterback Jayden Daniels look like a rookie? And if the Cowboys fall to 0-3 at home, will panic start setting in for America’s Team?

Here’s a summary of all the Week 6 games with player projections from NFL Next Gen stats (Chiefs, Dolphins, Rams and Vikings have byes):

49ers (2-3, 0-2 Away) vs. Seahawks (3-2, 2-1 Home)
Thursday, 8:15pm on Prime

Category

49ers

Seahawks

Points per Game

25.2 (10th)

24.4 (11th)

Point Differential

+20 (10th)

+8 (15th)

Record in Close Games

0-3

2-0

Av. Margin of Victory

15.0 (6th)

10.0 (15th)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

-3 (25th)

Total Penalties

25 (6th)

37 (24th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • 49ers

    • QB Brock Purdy: 251.3 pass yards, 1.9 pass TD

    • RB Jordan Mason: 85.3 rush yards, 0.7 rush TD, 11.1 receiving yards

    • TE George Kittle: 4.0 receptions, 53.2 receiving yards

  • Seahawks

    • QB Geno Smith: 246.1 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB Kenneth Walker III: 63.1 rush yards, 0.5 rush TD, 17.5 receiving yards

    • WR DK Metcalf: 4.3 receptions, 61.7 receiving yards

Jaguars (1-4, 0-3 Away) vs. Bears (3-2, 3-0 Home)
Sunday, 9:30am on NFL Network

Category

Jaguars

Bears

Points per Game

19.4 (21st)

22.6 (16th)

Point Differential

-46 (30th)

+28 (6th)

Record in Close Games

1-3

2-2

Av. Margin of Victory

3.0 (30th)

13.0 (10th)

Turnover Differential

-3 (25th)

+5 (3rd)

Total Penalties

30 (16th)

35 (21st)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Jaguars

    • QB Trevor Lawrence: 217.6 pass yards, 1.4 pass TD

    • RB Travis Etienne: 54.5 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 22.1 receiving yards

    • WR Brian Thomas Jr.: 4.3 receptions, 55.3 receiving yards

  • Bears

    • QB Caleb Williams: 229.6 pass yards, 1.4 pass TD

    • RB D’Andre Swift: 45.9 rush yards, 0.2 rush TD, 15.4 receiving yards

    • WR DJ More: 4.6 receptions, 62.8 receiving yards

Commanders (4-1, 2-1 Away) vs. Ravens (3-2, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Commanders

Ravens

Points per Game

31.0 (1st)

29.4 (2nd)

Point Differential

+40 (3rd)

+21 (9th)

Record in Close Games

2-0

2-2

Av. Margin of Victory

14.2 (7th)

10.3 (14th)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

+1 (11th)

Total Penalties

30 (16th)

44 (31st)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Commanders

    • QB Jayden Daniels: 203.9 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Brian Robinson: 59.2 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 13.9 receiving yards

    • WR Terry McLaurin: 4.9 receptions, 63.4 receiving yards

  • Ravens

    • QB Lamar Jackson: 229.6 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB Derrick Henry: 89.1 rush yards, 0.8 rush TD, 8.6 receiving yards

    • WR Zay Flowers: 5.1 receptions, 59.0 receiving yards

Cardinals (2-3, 1-1 Away) vs. Packers (3-2, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Cardinals

Packers

Points per Game

24.0 (12th)

25.6 (8th)

Point Differential

-9 (21st)

+20 (10th)

Record in Close Games

1-2

2-2

Av. Margin of Victory

16.0 (5th)

9.0 (17th)

Turnover Differential

+2 (8th)

+7 (1st)

Total Penalties

19 (1st)

40 (27th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Cardinals

    • QB Kyler Murray: 211.0 pass yards, 1.3 pass TD

    • RB James Conner: 71.0 rush yards, 0.6 rush TD, 12.0 receiving yards

    • TE Trey McBride: 4.9 receptions, 49.3 receiving yards

  • Packers

    • QB Jordan Love: 250.0 pass yards, 1.8 pass TD

    • RB Josh Jacobs: 61.8 rush yards, 0.5 rush TD, 16.8 receiving yards

    • WR Jayden Reed: 4.8 receptions, 60.4 receiving yards

Texans (4-1, 1-1 Away) vs. Patriots (1-4, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Texans

Patriots

Points per Game

20.4 (19th)

12.4 (31st)

Point Differential

-12 (24th)

-40 (27th)

Record in Close Games

4-0

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

3.8 (28th)

6.0 (23rd)

Turnover Differential

-3 (25th)

+2 (8th)

Total Penalties

47 (32nd)

28 (11th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Texans

    • QB C.J. Stroud: 255.2 pass yards, 1.9 pass TD

    • RB Joe Mixon: 58.5 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 20.4 receiving yards

    • WR Nico Collins: 5.7 receptions, 85.2 receiving yards

  • Patriots

    • QB Drake Maye: 177.3 pass yards, 0.9 pass TD

    • RB Rhamondre Stevenson: 52.3 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 17.4 receiving yards

    • TE Hunter Henry: 2.7 receptions, 27.2 receiving yards

Buccaneers (3-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Saints (2-3, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Buccaneers

Saints

Points per Game

25.4 (9th)

28.0 (4th)

Point Differential

+13 (14th)

+44 (2nd)

Record in Close Games

1-1

0-2

Av. Margin of Victory

12.7 (11th)

31.0 (1st)

Turnover Differential

+2 (8th)

+3 (7th)

Total Penalties

24 (3rd)

29 (14th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Buccaneers

    • QB Baker Mayfield: 234.8 pass yards, 1.5 pass TD

    • RB Rachaad White: 34.9 rush yards, 0.2 rush TD, 20.7 receiving yards

    • WR Chris Godwin: 5.4 receptions, 64.8 receiving yards

  • Saints

    • QB Spencer Rattler: 189.2 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Alvin Kamara: 75.1 rush yards, 0.6 rush TD, 26.5 receiving yards

    • WR Chris Olave: 5.4 receptions, 72.6 receiving yards

Browns (1-4, 1-2 Away) vs. Eagles (2-2, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on FOX

Category

Browns

Eagles

Points per Game

15.8 (30th)

21.5 (18th)

Point Differential

-42 (28th)

-10 (22nd)

Record in Close Games

1-2

2-1

Av. Margin of Victory

5.0 (24th)

4.0 (25th)

Turnover Differential

-1 (19th)

-6 (30th)

Total Penalties

43 (28th)

28 (11th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Browns

    • QB Deshaun Watson: 180.5 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Jerome Ford: 42.4 rush yards, 0.3 rush TD, 13.0 receiving yards

    • WR Amari Cooper: 4.3 receptions, 58.0 receiving yards

  • Eagles

    • QB Jalen Hurts: 227.5 pass yards, 1.5 pass TD

    • RB Saquon Barkley: 82.8 rush yards, 0.6 rush TD, 19.8 receptions

    • WR A.J. Brown: 5.7 receptions, 85.6 receiving yards

Colts (2-3, 0-2 Away) vs. Titans (1-3, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 1pm on CBS

Category

Colts

Titans

Points per Game

23.8 (13th)

19.8 (20th)

Point Differential

-3 (17th)

-11 (23rd)

Record in Close Games

2-3

0-2

Av. Margin of Victory

4.0 (25th)

19.0 (3rd)

Turnover Differential

+1 (11th)

-7 (31st)

Total Penalties

25 (6th)

23 (2nd)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Colts

    • QB Anthony Richardson: 190.8 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Jonathan Taylor: 78.1 rush yards, 0.6 rush TD, 14.6 receiving yards

    • WR Michael Pittman: 4.9 receptions, 56.4 receiving yards

  • Titans

    • QB Will Levis: 208.6 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Tony Pollard: 62.0 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 14.8 receiving yards

    • WR Calvin Ridley: 3.6 receptions, 48.7 receiving yards

Chargers (2-2, 1-1 Away) vs. Broncos (3-2, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 4:05pm on CBS

Category

Chargers

Broncos

Points per Game

17.0 (28th)

19.2 (22nd)

Point Differential

+18 (13th)

+23 (7th)

Record in Close Games

0-1

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

17.5 (4th)

12.0 (13th)

Turnover Differential

+5 (3rd)

+1 (11th)

Total Penalties

26 (8th)

36 (22nd)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Chargers

    • QB Justin Herbert: 217.3 pass yards, 1.4 pass TD

    • RB J.K. Dobbins: 54.7 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 14.6 receiving yards

    • WR Ladd McConkey: 3.6 receptions, 41.5 receiving yards

  • Broncos

    • QB Bo Nix: 195.2 pass yards, 1.1 pass TD

    • RB Javonte Williams: 41.3 rush yards, 0.2 rush TD, 19.0 receiving yards

    • WR Courtland Sutton: 3.7 receptions, 48.2 receiving yards

Steelers (3-2, 2-1 Away) vs. Raiders (2-3, 1-1 Home)
Sunday, 4:05pm on CBS

Category

Steelers

Raiders

Points per Game

18.4 (26th)

19.2 (22nd)

Point Differential

+19 (12th)

-35 (26th)

Record in Close Games

2-2

2-0

Av. Margin of Victory

8.3 (19th)

3.5 (29th)

Turnover Differential

+4 (5th)

-7 (31st)

Total Penalties

36 (22nd)

28 (11th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Steelers

    • RB Najee Harris: 49.9 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 9.3 receiving yards

    • WR George Pickens: 4.1 receptions, 63.6 receiving yards

    • TE Pat Freiermuth: 3.1 receptions, 34.9 receiving yards

  • Raiders

    • QB Gardner Minshew: 176.5 pass yards, 0.9 pass TD

    • RB Alexander Mattison: 33.3 rush yards, 0.2 rush TD, 16.2 receiving yards

    • TE Brock Bowers: 3.8 receptions, 42.4 receiving yards

Falcons (3-2, 1-0 Away) vs. Panthers (1-4, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 4:25pm on FOX

Category

Falcons

Panthers

Points per Game

22.2 (17th)

16.6 (29th)

Point Differential

-4 (18th)

-82 (32nd)

Record in Close Games

3-2

0-0

Av. Margin of Victory

3.0 (30th)

14.0 (8th)

Turnover Differential

-1 (19th)

-3 (25th)

Total Penalties

31 (18th)

32 (20th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Falcons

    • QB Kirk Cousins: 243.0 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Bijan Robinson: 59.7 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 26.6 receiving yards

    • WR Drake London: 5.7 receptions, 73.8 receiving yards

  • Panthers

    • QB Andy Dalton: 202.0 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Chuba Hubbard: 52.1 rush yards, 0.3 rush TD, 17.1 receiving yards

    • WR Diontae Johnson: 5.1 receptions, 61.9 receiving yards

Lions (3-1, 1-0 Away) vs. Cowboys (3-2, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 4:25pm on FOX

Category

Lions

Cowboys

Points per Game

26.0 (7th)

23.4 (15th)

Point Differential

+22 (8th)

-4 (18th)

Record in Close Games

2-1

2-1

Av. Margin of Victory

8.7 (18th)

8.0 (20th)

Turnover Differential

+1 (11th)

-1 (19th)

Total Penalties

31 (18th)

43 (28th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Lions

    • QB Jared Goff: 256.7 pass yards, 1.8 pass TD

    • RB Jahmyr Gibbs: 59.6 rush yards, 0.5 rush TD, 25.7 receiving yards

    • WR Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7.0 receptions, 81.4 receiving yards

  • Cowboys

    • QB Dak Prescott: 260.3 pass yards, 1.7 pass TD

    • RB Rico Dowdle: 34.3 rush yards, 0.2 rush TD, 15.4 receiving yards

    • WR CeeDee Lamb 6.0 receptions, 76.2 receiving yards

Bengals (1-4, 1-1 Away) vs. Giants (2-3, 0-2 Home)
Sunday, 8:20pm on NBC

Category

Bengals

Giants

Points per Game

28.0 (4th)

17.8 (27th)

Point Differential

-5 (20th)

-15 (25th)

Record in Close Games

0-4

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

10.0 (15th)

7.5 (21st)

Turnover Differential

0 (15th)

-2 (22nd)

Total Penalties

24 (3rd)

29 (14th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Bengals

    • QB Joe Burrow: 257.0 pass yards, 1.9 pass TD

    • RB Chase Brown: 44.0 rush yards, 0.3 rush TD, 14.7 receiving yards

    • WR Ja’Marr Chase: 5.7 receptions, 74.6 receiving yards

  • Giants

    • QB Daniel Jones: 225.6 pass yards, 1.2 pass TD

    • RB Devin Singletary: 55.2 rush yards, 0.3 rush TD, 15.0 receiving yards

    • WR Malik Nabers: 6.1 receptions, 75.1 receiving yards

Bills (3-2, 1-2 Away) vs. Jets (2-3, 1-1 Home)
Monday, 8:15pm on ESPN

Category

Bills

Jets

Points per Game

28.4 (3rd)

18.6 (25th)

Point Differential

+36 (4th)

+8 (15th)

Record in Close Games

1-1

1-2

Av. Margin of Victory

21.3 (2nd)

14.0 (8th)

Turnover Differential

+7 (1st)

0 (15th)

Total Penalties

24 (3rd)

39 (26th)

Key Player Projections from NFL Stats:

  • Bills

    • QB Josh Allen: 231.9 pass yards, 1.6 pass TD

    • RB James Cook: 63.5 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 14.4 receiving yards

    • WR Khalil Shakir: 4.7 receptions, 52.7 receiving yards

  • Jets

    • QB Aaron Rodgers: 220.5 pass yards, 1.5 pass TD

    • RB Breece Hall: 62.0 rush yards, 0.4 rush TD, 24.5 receiving yards

    • WR Garrett Wilson: 5.1 receptions, 64.6 receiving yards

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